National murder rate trend reveals drop in 2018

The US murder rate has dropped for the first time in past five years and this is a good sign for national numbers.

This is just a snippet from the trend and FBI will be formally releasing report for this year by September 2019.

A comparison of data this year with last year for 66 US cities, each with a population of more than 250,000, reveals a dip. Between 2014 and 2016 the murder rate rose by 23 percent and mostly due to increased cases in Baltimore and Chicago.

The comparison chart found murder rate has dropped by about 7 percent this year.

The Brennan Center found drop of 4.4 percent last year in 29 large cities.

In 2018 the murder rate in Chicago is lower by 17 percent compared to last year. Other notable cities where murder has dropped include Charlotte, Baltimore, Louisville and Memphis. These cities experienced good rise between 2014 and 2016.

However, if longer view is considered the murder rate is far less nationally compared to what was in the 1980s and 1990s.

If murder rate drops by 4.5 percent this year, it will be in line with 2009s rate i.e. 5 per 100,000.

Tracking murder rate is easier but it is unanswered why the murder rose nationally in 2015 and 2016. There are several theories to it and some are contradicting. Similarly it is again unanswered why the drop in 2018.

Paul Linus